Investing in the future of European renewable energies

21/10/2020
Renewable energy - solar plants and wind power in Europe

Summary

The build-out of renewable energy projects in Switzerland has taken a different trajectory to most of the country’s neighbours. However, there are some of the same forces at work in Switzerland driving the Swiss energy transition. The revised Energy Act referendum of 21 May 2017 (Energiegesetz) states as its goals: (i) to reduce energy consumption, (ii) to increase energy efficiency, (iii) to support renewable energies and (iv) the prohibition of building new nuclear facilities.¹ Europe has seen the renewable sector grow from dependence upon government support policies, designed to springboard various generation technologies, to standalone independent business models that, in many cases, no longer need any state intervention whatsoever.² The renewable energy market in Switzerland has also experienced a similar trend, in particular with regard to solar energy.

Key takeaways

  • Renewable infrastructure investments have a stabilising effect on portfolios with low correlation to capital markets.
  • Renewable energy is price-competitive with traditional generation, and is now the cheapest electricity ever generated at scale.
  • The renewable energy sector in Europe has shown itself to be highly resilient in the face of the Covid-19 crisis.
  • Geographic diversification continues to be a key driver for optimal risk-return profile in renewable energy investments.
  • The renewable sector is in transition towards private off-take arrangements and earlier stage investments, with new investment opportunities based on technological necessities.

Many of the first investors in the European renewable energy market were pension funds and other institutional investors looking to match longterm annuity obligations to stable and predictable cash flows, with low or no correlation to other capital markets. Such a profile can still be found today, albeit the market landscape has changed. Today, as more capital in the renewable sector is flowing to traditional operational assets, investors are exploring opportunities across different subsectors of the renewable energy space, moving up the project value chain, in order to maintain the same return level. Thanks to increasing efficiencies in construction, and technological advances, the cost of providing renewable energy has dropped dramatically. Solar and onshore wind power are now both as competitive as traditional power generation.3

 
Figure 1: Proxy Levelised Cost of Electricity


Figure 1: Proxy Levelised Cost of Electricity

Source: BloombergNEF. Note: The LCO range represents a range of costs and capacity factors. Battery storage systems (co-located and stand-alone) presented here have a four-hour storage. In case of solar- and wind-plus-battery systems, the range is a combination of capacity factors and size of the battery relative to the power generating asset (25% to 100% of total installed capacity). All LCOE calculations are unsubsidised and exclude curtailment. Categorisation of technologies is based on their primary use case.

The development of a healthy purchase power agreement market is another indication that alternative revenue structures to feed-in tariffs and subsidy mechanisms can also attract new investment in the sector. In this paper, we look at some of the changes that the European renewable market is going through, why these changes make Europe one of the best regions to pick for investing in renewable energy, and how this complements the sector in Switzerland. We also discuss opportunities that Swiss institutional investors have to access this dynamic market environment.

 

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Find out more about Infrastructure Equity at Allianz Global Investors

Infrastructure Equity can offer attractive returns in a growing global asset class, delivering stable cash-flows with no or very low correlation to the general capital markets. In particular, energy infrastructure offers institutional investors excellent investment opportunities with long-term cash-flows as a portfolio optimizer.

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1 Swiss Energy Act; Referendum vom 21. Mai 2017.
2 Irfan, U. (2018). Europe is building more wind and solar — without any subsidies. Vox. Retrieved April 29, 2020, from https://www.vox.com/2018/5/30/17408602/solar-wind-energy-renewable-subsidy-europe
3 Gray, M., & Sundaresan., S. (March 2020). How to waste over half a trillion dollars: the economic implications of deflationary renewa- ble energy from coal power investments, pp. 5, 9-10, 18-19. Carbon Tracker Initiative.

* Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future results.
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Active is: Making complexity investable

A roadmap for the years ahead: Introducing our investable themes

29/04/2021
A roadmap for the years ahead: Introducing our investable themes

Summary

To help investors navigate today’s drastically different world, we’ve identified three overarching themes: a resurgent China, persistently low yields, and the drive to live and invest more sustainably. We’re using our expertise and insights to explain why these themes represent some of the biggest opportunities and risks for portfolios – and what investors can do.

Key takeaways

  • Fundamental changes have made the traditional “rules” of investing less relevant – which is why we’re exploring three investable themes to help investors navigate a new era
  • Investable theme #1: If rates and yields stay lower for even longer, investors will need strategies to pursue higher yields and returns while managing risk
  • Investable theme #2: China is the world’s new economic powerhouse, and investors must consider how to incorporate it – whatever the asset class and wherever they are in the world
  • Investable theme #3: With sustainability now essential to how the world invests, clients need help thinking in new ways – for example, by focusing on outcome-oriented results where the impact is measurable

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